Retail Initiative Update

Last Thursday, we announced that in the next several weeks, Dell XPS and Inspiron PCs would be carried in over 900 U.S. Best Buy locations and at bestbuy.com. With this agreement, Dell PCs will be available in over 10,000 locations worldwide, which in turn helps us drive towards one of our key strategic priorities: focusing on consumer. We've received several questions from the press and investors seeking additional insights into retail initiative and its impact on our business model. Since we've announced partnerships with Staples, Wal-Mart, Sam's Club, Gome, Carrefour, Bic Camera, Carphone Warehouse, and others over the past several months (with the intention of forging 1 to 2 partnerships in the top 20 countries over time), we thought this would be a good opportunity to discuss what the impact retail partnerships will have on our P&L and cash conversion cycle (CCC).

Let's tackle the impact of retail on our CCC first. To review, CCC is a metric used by investors to understand how long it takes a company to create cash flows. This metric takes into account the number of days a company keeps inventories (DSI), the amount of time it takes a company to collect money from customers (DSO), and the amount of time a company waits to pay its suppliers (DPO). In short, CCC = DSI + DSO - DPO. The shorter a company's CCC, the less time capital is tied up in the business, and hence, creates better cash flows. The beauty of the Dell model is that we typically don't take possession of parts inventory until a customer has ordered and paid for a system. Meanwhile, customers typically pay for systems immediately (with a credit card in the case of consumers), and we we'll usually ship a PC to a customer within a matter of days. Meanwhile, our suppliers don't receive payment for roughly 2 months after we take possession of parts (last quarter it was 81 days), so Dell's CCC was -35 days in Q3'08. Dell's strong cash position is then reinvested back into the business in the form of capital expenditures or acquisitions, as well as returned to shareholders in the form share repurchases.

So back to the impact of retail partnerships on our CCC. The most consistent question we've received is whether we'll see our days DSI and DSO go up when dealing with a large retailer. The best way to answer this question is to think of a retail partner similar to a commercial customer. Retail, like commercial customers, will order 100s, if not 1000s of PCs at once. And these PCs will likely consist of just several specific configurations. We'll build these PCs to the customer's specification from one of our 11 global manufacturing facilities, leverage our world-class supply chain, and ship directly to the customer much as we would a commercial customer -- so there's little impact on DSI. As for the impact on DSO, we expect retail's accounts receivables will look much the same as our commercial customers. And remember; roughly 85% of Dell's business today is driven by commercial customers, so the impact on overall DSO should be minimal.

From a P&L perspective, the retail model impacts our business differently than our direct-to-consumer model does. Though it's early in the initiative, we expect retail-driven gross margins will be lower than direct since we'll have to share part of the margin with our partners. On the other hand, the sales and marketing costs associated with the retail model should be lower since our retail partners will shoulder much of these costs. Further, another benefit of our retail model could be that these additional revenues will help offset some of the fixed costs associated with our direct business.

But it's important to remember that our US consumer business posted -1.4% operating profit in Q3'08. While the retail partnerships are a step in the right direction, there's still a lot to do to return this business to profitability. It could take time to ramp and fine tune the initiative, but eventually, we expect retail will be accretive to our bottom line.

Comments  Comment RSS Feed

Brad Morris said:

First of all you are making the right moves. Second, how is the consumer business unprofitable? And third and most importantly, why not take down your advertising budget because to me it seems like it's focused on your consumer business, and to cut it back 10-20% would make a lot of sense to me.

Dell IR said:

Brad - you can find a discussion of the US consumer business in our recently-filed 10-Q.

Richard said:

I agree that Dell should cut back it’s advertising costs.  The company already has a fairly good reputation with computer users as they are the predominant supplier of PC’s to both those who are savvy and those who are not.  Unless you put one together yourself or have someone do that for you, it’s likely you have a Dell or will have one so I agree that advertising could be cut just a bit and that money could be used elsewhere.

Brad Morris said:

Glad to see Tesco now added to Dell's retail partners. Keep them coming, you can never have too many!

Serg said:

Thank you for providing details on the retail initiative. I just want to add a comment regarding the retail approach. It's important to stress that while the retail appoach does provide a lower margin business, with the retail strategy Dell gains access to a customer base which the online/phone model wasn't able to reach. Retail chains like Walmart would offer consumers who are new to the computer world a Dell alternative which in a lot of ways is a superior product to other brands.

Jimmy said:

I am wondering if Dell plan to put more investment on LCD screan's lab. Such as digital fram or touch screen monitor.

Dell IR said:

Jimmy - regarding your LCD investment question, we cannot comment on future product plans.

Nitin said:

I don't agree that marketing costs should decline. Dell advertising needs to be catchy and 'sexy' - Dell ads showcase current product and prices, but don't stick. There should be a mix of 'cool' ads that improve the brand image and the current boring ads that showcase products / services. Advertise improvements made in customer service.

Also, now that Dell products are in some major retail chains, why is Dell still using the mall kiosks - I haven't seen any customers around them. The only way those kiosks will work is if they catch attention - either of adults or children.

Govind said:
Dell really need to flex its business experience to make real changes in retail.  Hp, Gateway, Sony , etc are all loaded with bloatware.  This is a major source of frustration and problems for most users.  So they call for customer service. More people call so we have longer wait times.  Some deal with it. Some go return there system. So Dell treat your customers with respect and you will see the stock and market share grow exponentially.  I am not a stock guru but i know that you have to find a niche in the market.  Treat retail customers like business customers and within two years dell with be back on top. Hiring more customer service and tech support reps is expensive but uninstalling junk is not. Maybe even put a site for best practices. More videos on youtube. Under 30 is not a rich group but is a group that is heavily invested in technology. Listen to them. Do some diggs.

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